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Living
on less than one dollar a day: this is the definition of absolute
poverty.
This definition might
seem simple: surely it just means that the poorest people
in the world have less than $1 (50p) to spend each day. And
perhaps it might seem that absolute poverty is not too bad:
because although $1 won't buy much in an industrial country,
in India or Africa it can be enough to survive.
But this isn't what the definition means.
Many people - in Universities, on television, in government
- have misunderstood what the "one dollar a day"
definition means, and as a consequence they don't realise
how serious global poverty really is. This pamphlet tries
to explain what it really means.
A dollar a day?
The commonly accepted measure
of absolute poverty is an index known as the international
poverty line: this is the ‘one dollar a day’ marker
set by the World Bank. But to earn a dollar a day does not,
by this measure, actually mean to earn a dollar’s worth
at international exchange rates. It is calculated using a
conversion mechanism known as Purchasing Power Parity, which
compares the ability of people in different countries to buy
a "basket" of goods which would cost a dollar in
the USA. In other words, earning less than a dollar a day
means that you don’t earn enough in a day to buy you
what a dollar could buy you in America. To take a specific
example: an Indian worker who earns forty-five rupees a day
will not be deemed to be below the poverty line, even though
they earn less than a dollar at international exchange rates.
This is because it only costs about nine rupees to buy food
that would cost you a dollar in the USA. The international
poverty line is set much lower than, at first glance, it appears.
Another way of seeing this is to imagine how far you could
get in an American city with just one dollar. The US Department
of Agriculture calculates that in 2007 the minimum expenditure
required to nourish an adult male for a week in the United
States is $35.40 - and this only counts what they would spend
on food. This is roughly five times as generous as the international
poverty line, which is supposed to include all other expenses
as well as food. Supporters of the Purchasing Power Parity
index argue that it provides a sounder measure than exchange
rates, which can be distorted by currency speculation. They
also suggest that, in an efficient global market, identical
goods would have only one price and the measurement would
attain perfect validity. Until that day arrives, though, the
index is only capable of showing us how far the global market
is from being fair and efficient. And while this index is
set so low, it is not fit for the purpose of measuring progress
towards the first of the United Nations Millenium Development
Goals, to halve extreme poverty by 2015. If we are serious
about defeating poverty, our sights must be set far higher.
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The mismeasure of poverty
We are familiar
with states being experts at managing statistics to their
own advantage - the words ‘state’ and ‘statistic’
share a common root, after all - but it is perhaps less easy
to accept that an international institution such as the World
Bank, with such key responsibilities
for the reduction of poverty, would do the same thing.
The economist Sanjay Reddy and the philosopher Thomas Pogge,
however, have argued that the World Bank’s ‘dollar
a day’ international poverty line is, for all its appearance
of precision, unreliable and highly vulnerable to manipulation.
This section is an attempt to introduce some of their arguments.
After translating its poverty line between countries using
Purchasing Power Parity in the manner described above, the
Bank performs a second step, translating the sum through time
by looking at inflation within the countries. This would be
meaningful if the Purchasing Power Parity between countries
was consistent at different times, and if the rates of inflation
over time were consistent between
countries. But none of these ratios is actually consistent
with each other. The World Bank contrives consistency by using
the Purchasing Power Parity ratios for a base year: but the
choice of this year is arbitrary and has huge implications
for the measurement of poverty. In the year 2000, the World
Bank shifted its base year
from 1985 to 1993, with huge statistical effects (the number
of Mauritanians deemed to be below the poverty line, for example,
fell from 31.4% to 3.8%).
As a method of measuring poverty, therefore, this method is
both complicated and unreliable. And there are real alternatives:
SocialWatch, an international research network, administers
the Basic Capabilities Index which measures wealth in terms
of access to essential goods and welfare. The World Bank,
however, persists with a ‘money metric’ approach.
A possible reason for this is that the ‘dollar a day’
poverty line is geared to producing positive results.
This is because the basket of goods the World
Bank uses to calculate purchasing power includes services
- intangible goods such as teaching, banking or web-design
- which tend to be relatively much better value in developing
countries than in the
rich world, and thus shrink the cost of the developing countries’
basket of goods considerably. When considering the phenomenon
of absolute poverty, however, this must be seen as a distortion
– these services are hopelessly out of reach for people
struggling to acquire such basic necessities as food and water.
It has been calculated that 30%- 40% more people would be
considered to be living in absolute
poverty if measurements excluded services and only took account
of these basics. Not only do the services in the basket increase
the appearance of wealth in
developing countries, they also inflate the impression of
increasing wealth, as these
services become a greater share ofthe global basket over time.
In his moral philosophical work Pogge argues
that we in the rich countries of the world like to view poverty
as being confined to certain periods – such as famines
– and certain areas – such as war zones and corrupt
regimes. This enables us to see poverty as a problem to be
dealt with by charity – which is relatively painless
– rather than by asking difficult questions about the
way we live our lives. The World Bank has been in some measure
responsible for propagating this view, casting corrupt regimes
as the villains against a rosy backcloth of the poverty reduction
which will inevitably come from ‘business as usual’,
and from accepting its aggressively corporate agenda. The
statistics the World Bank produces seem to support this vision.
It is only when we examine them critically that we realise
that ‘business as usual’ will not be sufficient.
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Written by
James PicardoThis pamphlet is based mainly on an
article by Thomas Pogge and Sanjay Reddy called
“Unknown:
The Extent, Distribution, and Trend of Global Income Poverty.”
References used in the text
Line 6 – The World Bank’s
IPL calculations are described at
www.worldbank.org/poverty and can be replicated at http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/jsp/index.jsp
Line 7 – The United Nation’s
Millenium Development Goals are
outlined at www.un.org/millenniumgoals/
Line 14 – The idea of Purchasing
Power Parity is first outlined in Cassel,Gustav, 1923. The
Theory Of Social Economy, Unwin.
Line 20 – These measurements are
for 2005. For a table comparing
exchange rates with PPPs, see
http://devdata.worldbank.org/wdi2005/Table5_7.htm
Line 27 – The US Department of
Agriculture’s ‘Thrify Food Plan’ can
be found at www.cnpp.usda.gov/Publications/FoodPlans/2007/CostofFoodApr07.pdf
Line 36 – The methodological argument
for using Purchasing Power
Parity to measure poverty are outlined in Chen, Shaohua and
Martin Ravallion, 2001 “How Did the World’s Poorest
Fare in the 1990s” Review of Income and Wealth 47, 283-300
The Mismeasure of Poverty
Line 4 – 1770, "science dealing
with data about the condition of a state or community,"
from Ger. Statistik, popularized and perhaps coined by Ger.
political scientist Gottfried Aschenwall (1719-72) –
www.etmyonline.com
Line 10 – Reddy, Sanjay and Thomas
W. Pogge, 2003. “Unknown: The Extent, Distribution,
and Trend of Global Income Poverty”, which can be read
at www.cceia.org/resources/articles_papers_reports/815.html
Reddy, Sanjay and Thomas W. Pogge, 2003. “How Not to
Count the Poor.” Unpublished working paper, which can
be read at www.columbia.edu/~sr793/count.pdf
Line 25 – www.socialwatch.org/en/portada.htm
for detail on the
Basic Capabilities Index and other useful indices
Line 42 – Thomas W. Pogge, 2002.
World Poverty and Human Rights,
Polity, Cambridge.
Line 49 – See Paul Wolfowitz’s
speech of April 11, 2006 in Jakarta
‘Good Governance and Development’ at www.worldbank.org
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