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The story so
far
In the lead up to and during the Millennium Year, the Jubilee
2000 campaign forced the leaders of the richest states and the international
financial institutions they dominate to take the issue of unpayable poor
country debt seriously. Hundreds of thousands of campaigners worldwide took
protest action, 24.1 million signed the petition for debt cancellation,
and some of the most prominent people on the planet, from Bono to the Pope,
gave their support to the campaign.
Much was promised
In the late 1990's the main creditors (the Group of 7
richest countries, the World Bank and International Monetary Fund) agreed
various initiatives to alleviate the debt burden. Chief amongst these
was the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) programme. This promised
a "lasting exit from debt problems" for countries which met
tough conditions set by the creditors. At the end of 2000 Britain also
took unilateral action by undertaking not to collect further debt repayments
from some of the poorest countries, and other members of the G8 (the elite
club of the richest states) promised to follow this lead by varying degrees.
Today a few countries are beginning to experience the benefits of debt
relief. In Uganda, for example, the Government has put money released
by debt relief into education with the result that the school enrolment
rate has doubled.
But not enough was delivered
Gordon Brown's announcements on debt at the end of 2000,
welcome though they were, were reported as if he had ended the debt crisis
once and for all. In fact, the debts owed directly to Britain and other
countries account for only part of the problem. Much of the debt is owed
to the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank (which G8 countries
including Britain ultimately control) and private banks. International
initiatives on debt offer limited relief with harsh conditions attached
for only some of the worst affected countries. Britain is still collecting
debt payments from poor countries which are not included in the HIPC programme.
The Jubilee 2000 campaign identified 52 poor countries
urgently needing debt relief. Their collective foreign debts amounted
to $372 billion in 1998, of which $300-$350 billion was unpayable (either
literally or could be repaid only at an unacceptable human cost). The
HIPC programme, as enhanced in 1999, promised $100 billion in debt cancellation.
By May 2003 only $36.3 billion debt stock had actually been cut. The HIPC
process is proving painfully slow and so far just eight of the 27 countries
have reached 'Completion Point', the point at which there debts are cut
to a level the creditors consider "sustainable".
Creditors forced to acknowledge HIPC
failure
Reports published by the World Bank in Spring 2002 showed
that, of the five countries which had completed the HIPC programme, two
of them (Uganda and Bolivia) would still not be able to manage their debts.
World Bank analysis is based on "projections" which debt campaigners
question because 1) they assume much better performance by HIPC countries
in the next decade than in the last and 2) that they discount the possibility
of economic shocks, such as climatic disasters and currency devaluations,
to which poor countries are vulnerable. Given a more realistic analysis
the current state of HIPC is far worse.
Creditors are now beginning to acknowledge that HIPC will
not deliver debt "sustainability" as promised. Campaigners are
now pushing to ensure that this realisation results not in tinkering with
HIPC, which will simply postpone the crisis, but in a radical overhaul
of the whole debt relief process and in a new, fairer relationship between
rich creditors and poor country debtors.
Where are we now?
Debt update - some numbers to illustrate why the campaign
must continue:
$300 billion - the amount of debt cancellation
Jubilee 2000 campaigned for
$100 billion - the amount of debt cancellation promised at Cologne
in 1999
$36.3 billion - the amount of debt actually cancelled as at May
2003
52 - the number of countries Jubilee 2000 stated needed debt
cancellation
42 - the number of countries the IMF/World Bank say are eligible
for debt relief
27 - the number of countries that have begun the process of obtaining
debt relief through the HIPC initiative.
13 - the number of countries that have reached completion point
in the debt relief process.(As at May 2004)
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