The
story so far
In
the lead up to and during the Millennium Year, the Jubilee 2000 campaign forced
the leaders of the richest states and the international financial institutions
they dominate to take the issue of unpayable poor country debt seriously.
Hundreds of thousands of campaigners worldwide took protest action, 24.1 million
signed the petition for debt cancellation, and some of the most prominent
people on the planet, from Bono to the Pope, gave their support to the campaign.
Much
was promised
In the late 1990's the main creditors (the Group of 7 richest countries, the
World Bank and International Monetary Fund) agreed various initiatives to
alleviate the debt burden. Chief amongst these was the Heavily Indebted Poor
Countries (HIPC) programme. This promised a "lasting exit from debt problems"
for countries which met tough conditions set by the creditors. At the end
of 2000 Britain also took unilateral action by undertaking not to collect
further debt repayments from some of the poorest countries, and other members
of the G7 (the elite club of the richest states) promised to follow this lead
by varying degrees. Today a few countries are beginning to experience the
benefits of debt relief. In Uganda, for example, the Government has put money
released by debt relief into education with the result that the school enrolment
rate has doubled.
But
not enough was delivered
Gordon Brown's announcements on debt at the end of 2000, welcome though they
were, were reported as if he had ended the debt crisis once and for all. In
fact, the debts owed directly to Britain and other countries account for only
part of the problem. Much of the debt is owed to the International Monetary
Fund, the World Bank (which G7 countries including Britain ultimately control)
and private banks. International initiatives on debt offer limited relief
with harsh conditions attached for only some of the worst affected countries.
Britain is still collecting debt payments from poor countries
which are not included in the HIPC programme.
The Jubilee 2000 campaign identified 52 poor countries urgently needing debt
relief. Their collective foreign debts amounted to $372 billion in 1998, of
which $300-$350 billion was unpayable (either literally or could be repaid
only at an unacceptable human cost). The HIPC programme, as enhanced in 1999,
promised $100 billion in debt cancellation. By May 2003 only $36.3 billion
debt stock had actually been cut. The HIPC process is proving painfully slow
and so far just eight of the 27 countries have reached 'Completion Point',
the point at which there debts are cut to a level the creditors consider "sustainable".
Creditors
forced to acknowledge HIPC failure
Reports published by the World Bank in Spring 2002 showed that, of the five
countries which had completed the HIPC programme, two of them (Uganda and
Bolivia) would still not be able to manage their debts. World Bank analysis
is based on "projections" which debt campaigners question because
1) they assume much better performance by HIPC countries in the next decade
than in the last and 2) that they discount the possibility of economic shocks,
such as climatic disasters and currency devaluations, to which poor countries
are vulnerable. Given a more realistic analysis the current state of HIPC
is far worse.
Creditors are now beginning to acknowledge that HIPC will not deliver debt "sustainability" as promised. Campaigners are now pushing to ensure that this realisation results not in tinkering with HIPC, which will simply postpone the crisis, but in a radical overhaul of the whole debt relief process and in a new, fairer relationship between rich creditors and poor country debtors.
Where
are we now?
Debt
Update - Some Numbers to illustrate why the campaign must continue.
$300 billion - the amount of debt cancellation Jubilee 2000 campaigned for
$100 billion - the amount of debt cancellation promised at Cologne in 1999
$36.3 billion - the amount of debt actually cancelled as at May 2003
52 - the number of countries Jubilee 2000 stated needed debt cancellation
42 - the number of countries the IMF/World Bank say are eligible for debt relief
27 - the number of countries that have begun the process of obtaining debt relief through the HIPC initiative.
8 - the number of countries that have reached completion point in the debt relief process.